Friday, June 28, 2019

Rule 14 Effectiveness Analysis for Baseball

   There are 472 OSSAA member schools which participate in spring baseball. Those schools which may restrict enrollment (RE) and/or provide student financial assistance (FA) comprise 22 schools (4.7%), while those schools which cannot restrict enrollment or provide financial assistance comprise 450 schools (95.3%). In 2011, one year before Rule 14 became effective, 4 RE/FA schools experienced success (final eight in playoff competition), or 8.3%. This success ratio for RE/FA schools was 77% higher than its membership ratio. Forty-four (44) non-RE/FA schools, or 91.7%, experienced "success" on the OSSAA success meter. The success ratio for non-RE/FA schools at 91.7% was 3.8% lower than its membership ratio. An analysis for several other sports can be read here.
   Eight years after implementation of the competitive equity Rule 14 in 2019, the success and participation ratios for RE/FA and non-RE/FA schools were identical to 2011. Based on this competitive equity effectiveness study, Rule 14 has been ineffective for establishing a level playing field.
   Once again, it remains unknown as to the data and analysis the OSSAA committee utilized in determining that Rule 14 has been effective for baseball. I guess we may analyze its analysis for validity and reliability on August 7 at the OSSAA public meeting...

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